USD/JPY | US Dollar to Japanese Yen Trading Analysis

U.S.: Consumer sentiment has improved sharply:

  • US, University of Michigan: March, final Consumer Sentiment Index 84.9 vs. prelim 83.0 / forecast 83.6 / and pre. 76.8, the best result since March 2020, but it's still far from pre-survey levels;
  • Assessment of current economic conditions 93.0 vs. prelim 91.5 / forecast / and pre. 86.2, the highest since March 2020;
  • 6-month consumer expectations of 79.7 vs. prelim/projection 77.5 and forecast 70.7 - also at highs since March 2020;
  • 1-year inflation expectations 3.1% vs. 3.1% forecast and pre. 3.3% in February, 3.0% in January, and 2.5% in December - the indicator has begun to stabilize after rising for several months;
  • 5-10-year inflation expectations 2.8% vs. 2.7% and 2.7%.




USD/JPY, 30 min


USD/JPY, 30 min


Pivot: 109.53


Analysis:

Provided that the currency pair is traded below 109.80, follow the recommendations below:

  • Time frame: 30 min
  • Recommendation: short position
  • Entry point: 109.53
  • Take Profit 1: 109.30
  • Take Profit 2: 109.10


Alternative scenario: 

In case of breakout of the level 109.80, follow the recommendations below:

  • Time frame: 30 min
  • Recommendation: long position
  • Entry point: 109.80 
  • Take Profit 1: 110.00
  • Take Profit 2: 110.20


Comment:

Technically RSI shows the possibility of a downtrend during the day. 


Key levels:

Resistance  Support

110.20 109.30

110.00 109.10

109.80 108.95




USD/JPY, D1


USD/JPY, D1


Pivot: 109.78


Analysis:

While the price is above 108.00, follow the recommendations below:

  • Time frame: D1
  • Recommendation: long position
  • Entry point: 109.78
  • Take Profit 1: 111.35
  • Take Profit 2: 112.20


Alternative scenario:

If the level 108.00 is broken-down, follow the recommendations below:

  • Time frame: D1
  • Recommendation: short position
  • Entry point: 108.00
  • Take Profit 1: 107.00
  • Take Profit 2: 106.10


Comment:

RSI shows a medium-term uptrend.


Key levels:

Resistance  Support

113.00 108.00

112.20 107.00

111.35 106.10

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